Dubai’s Burj Khalifa and the ‘Curse of the Skyscraper’

By Stephen Jones
Stephen Jones
Stephen Jones
January 6, 2010Updated: January 7, 2010

 (Emaar Properties)
(Emaar Properties)
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates—The opening of the Burj Khalifa, the world's tallest building on Monday, comes at a time when the world is embroiled in a deep recession. Some see this as history repeating itself.

"If you look at all of the world's tallest buildings, they were opened at a time when the world was facing an economic downturn," Antony Wood, executive director of the Council on Tall Buildings and the Urban Habitat, told the Epoch Times.

Ten years ago, economist Andrew Lawrence suggested that it was possible to predict an economic downturn by noticing the creation of a new record-breaking skyscraper.

His theory, dubbed the "skyscraper index" or the "skyscraper curse," has been given a fresh airing among columnists after the Burj Khalifa’s unveiling.

Gary Chapman, Executive at the Emirates Group: 'This building is a symbol of what can be achieved. It's part of a large master development that is truly world class. It's an example of where the future of Dubai lies.' (Fariborz Tavanaei)
Gary Chapman, Executive at the Emirates Group: 'This building is a symbol of what can be achieved. It's part of a large master development that is truly world class. It's an example of where the future of Dubai lies.' (Fariborz Tavanaei)
Over the past two months, commentators have been speculating over whether Dubai is bankrupt after its largest state-owned conglomerate requested a postponement on the repayment of its debt.

The Dubai government is believed to have a debt of US$59 billion, and has twice approached its oil-rich neighbor, the city of Abu Dhabi, for a bailout package.

Yannick Hellec, General Manager of Hellec Consulting: 'It is an iconic building and I think it will have a positive effect on Dubai. It's an achievement in terms of engineering, and a lot of tourists will come to visit it.' (Fariborz Tavanaei)
Yannick Hellec, General Manager of Hellec Consulting: 'It is an iconic building and I think it will have a positive effect on Dubai. It's an achievement in terms of engineering, and a lot of tourists will come to visit it.' (Fariborz Tavanaei)
The emirate is not alone; the curse of skyscrapers goes back much further.

Some 80 years ago, when initial excavations for the Empire State Building began, the U.S. was plunged into the Great Depression and the stock market crash of 1973–1974 came two years after opening of the World Trade Center in New York.

Some say that the correlation goes as far back as the Tower of Babel, which the Burj Khalifa has already been likened to in hubris.

Stephan Degenhart, Director of German project management firm: 'It's a strong signal to the world. It shows that Dubai is still on the map, despite the negative press it has received in the last few months. It will show that even in the downturn, Dubai is stronger than ever.' (Fariborz Tavanaei)
Stephan Degenhart, Director of German project management firm: 'It's a strong signal to the world. It shows that Dubai is still on the map, despite the negative press it has received in the last few months. It will show that even in the downturn, Dubai is stronger than ever.' (Fariborz Tavanaei)
However, despite these historical circumstances, Wood believes that it would be "ridiculous" to try and predict a future economic crisis from plans to build a new tall building. He insists that the correlation is purely a matter of timing.

"If you are going to think about building the world's tallest building, chances are you will do so when times are good for the economy," he said.

"By the time the tower is built, it is likely that the economy is in a very different state to when the tower was originally conceived."

Burj Khalifa at a Glance:

59: distance in miles at which the spire can be seen
1,653.5: rise in feet of its main service elevator
57: number of elevators
49: number of office floors
1,044: number of residential apartments
900: length in feet of the fountain at the foot of the tower, the world's tallest performing fountain
28,261: number of glass cladding panels on the exterior of the tower

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